December 2018
Source SMMT
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The fleet sector was hit the hardest as the UK new car market fell by 6.8% in 2018, with annual registrations falling for a second year to 2,367,147 units.

According to the latest figures released by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), the fleet sector was down 7.3% while private motorists and smaller business operators fell 6.4% and 5.6% respectively.

A 5.5% decline in December capped a turbulent year of model changes, regulatory upheaval and continued anti-diesel policies, adding to the ongoing decline in consumer and business confidence, said the SMMT.

Demand also fell across all vehicle segments bar the dual purpose category, which grew by +9.1% to take a fifth of the market (21.2%).

Smaller vehicles remained the most popular – with a combined 58.7% market share.

Source SMMT

The biggest volume decline was seen in the diesel sector, down 29.6% in 2018, with the volume loss equivalent to some 180% of the overall market’s decline.

The SMMT blamed anti-diesel rhetoric and negative fiscal measures with December marking the 21st consecutive month of decline for the fuel type – despite new emissions tests showing diesels deliver in the real world.

Growth in registrations of petrol (+8.7%) and alternatively fuelled vehicles (+20.9%) replaced some of the loss but not enough to offset the full shortfall as many diesel owners adopt a ‘wait and see’ approach, keeping hold of older, more polluting vehicles for longer.

In the AFV sector, petrol electric hybrids remained the most popular choice, up +21.3% to 81,156 units. Plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) also recorded a strong uplift (+24.9%) over the year, though the figures suggest growth is slowing following the removal of the Government’s plug-in car grant for these vehicles in October.

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Demand for PHEVs grew almost 30% in the first 10 months, but year on year increases fell to 3.1% and 8.7% in November and December respectively. Pure electric cars, meanwhile, grew 13.8% in the year but, with just 15,474 registered, they still make up only 0.7% of the market. Given the reduction in government incentives, the pace of growth of plug-in cars is now falling significantly behind the EU average.2

SMMT data also showed the UK new car fleet average CO2 rising for a second successive year, by 2.9% to 124.5g/km. This is despite huge investment by manufacturers to deliver ever more efficient cars, with the average new or updated model emitting -8.3% less CO2 than that it replaced.

While part of this fleet average CO2 increase was due to segment shift and the introduction of the new WLTP test which produces higher figures, the move away from diesels is having a significant impact.

Diesels are, on average, 15-20% more efficient than petrol equivalents and so have a substantial role to play in addressing climate change. The hard won gains made by the sector since CO2 records began in 1997 – when the new car fleet average was 189.8g/km – are being undermined by the shift away from diesel and disappointing growth in alternatively fuelled vehicles.

Mike Hawes, SMMT Chief Executive, said: “A second year of substantial decline is a major concern, as falling consumer confidence, confusing fiscal and policy messages and shortages due to regulatory changes have combined to create a highly turbulent market.

“The industry is facing ever-tougher environmental targets against a backdrop of political and economic uncertainty that is weakening demand so these figures should act as a wake-up call for policy makers.

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“Supportive, not punitive measures are needed to grow sales, because replacing older cars with new technologies, whether diesel, petrol, hybrid or plug-in, is good for the environment, the consumer, the industry and the exchequer.”

 


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Chris Wright
Chris Wright has been covering the automotive industry nationally and internationally for 30 years. Following spells with consumer titles he became News Editor of Automotive Management (AM), Editor of Automotive International, International Editor for Detroit-based Automotive News, and Editor of Dealer Update. He has also co-authored several FT Management Reports and contributes regularly to Justauto.com

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